Programme OS4g Risk management 1
Predict's experience of assistance of local communities for flood
Author(s): Alix Roumagnac
President of PREDICT Services S.A.S.:
An initiative to help
communities to prevent flood crisis
Keyword(s): Risk Management; flood management; feedback from communities; prevention;
anticipation; integrated solution
Session: OS4g Risk management 1
"Predict’s experience of assistance of local communities for flood
Project description : To face repeated flood crisis, especially in south of France, BRL, EADS
Astrium, in association with Meteo France, developed the initiative Predict to help local communities to better
anticipate and manage flood crisis.
In the crossing of the géo-information stemming from the space technology,
communication, meteorology, hydraulics and hydrology, Predict brings help to local communities in their mission of
protection and information to the citizens,in the face of flood problems.
Problem definition :
years, as floods were increasing, BRL, was sought by local governments for assistance in flood management ( BRL
is a regional development company, a public private partnership controlled by the local gouvernments of the
These local communities felt deprive to assume their mission of protection and
information of citizens.
Towards a solution / Approach :
The Predict initiative proposes to help in the
management and anticipation of floods based on a better upstream knowledge, the follow-up in real time of crisis
and the post analysis crisis of the phenomenon.
Based on a computer platform, allied to the most modern
technologies, notably satellite and radar, this initiative allows, according to the forecasts of rainfall, to gain precious
minutes in the application of the community safety plans. As a complement to the services supplied by the State, it
also offers communities localized and operational information which allows them to better anticipate and improve
management of crisis situations.
The Predict’s method is organized around four axes :
- Knowledge of the
stakes and vulnerability of the different components in a municipal territory, for a better protection,
anticipation and assistance to the crisis management,
- analysis of floods effects
- capitalization of knowledge
for the preservation of a risk consciousness.
Results / outcomes :
This service is actually developed in
the south of France.
Predict has prepared emergency plans to organize crisis management and reduce risks,
helped and assisted communities during crisis, to activate and adapt their emergency plans with enough of
anticipation. The initiative has been functioning with more than one hundred of southern cities. The communication
will present the experience return.
This initiative is developped in dialogue with State services as Météo
France, the Ministry for the interior, the Ministry for ecology and the durable development, the Regional Direction of
the Environment (DIREN), the Central service of Hydrometeorology and Support to the Forecast of the Floods (
SCHAPI) and service of forecast of rising (SPC).
questions are: "What is the problem? How do you want to solve them? What can be (potential) barriers? On with
parts you might need assistance? What goals do you want to reach?
The fact is that physical protection is
necessary but inevitably limited. Tools and structures of assistance to anticipation are slightly developed. To manage
repeated crisis, local authorities need to be able to base their flood policy on prevention, warnings, post-crisis
analysis and feedback from former experience.
The feedback of Predict initiative presents how to prepare
emergency plans to organize crisis management and reduce risks, to help and assist communities during crisis to
activate and adapt their emergency plans with enough of anticipation, to analyse floods effects and improve
emergency plans afterwards.
Predict - Services
Rond Point Benjamin
34960 Montpellier Cedex 02
Mister Alix Roumagnac
Tel : +33 (0)4 67 13 01 63
Email : firstname.lastname@example.org
Responsible to the development of Predict’s initiative
Tel : +33(0)4 67 13 01 64